world energy resources is looked into 2016 Chinese edition is released

Published on 2018-06-21

On December 2, ” world energy resources is looked into 2016 ” Chinese edition is released in Beijing. The report thinks, suffer the effect of policy and transition of the sources of energy, the perspective of report of zephyr of smooth hot season will be more wide.
” Parisian agreement ” the target that raise is a whole world the level before average air temperature is more industrialized lifts control is in 2 ℃ , it is warm up to control is in 1.5 ℃ and try hard. IEA thinks, ” Parisian agreement ” it is a frame only, it depends on to the influence of the sources of energy the specific action that how the target fulfils a government. If according to the acceptance with current each country, the whole world that realizes 2 ℃ is lukewarm it is difficult to accuse a target to still have, want warm up control can say almost inside 1.5 ℃ is uncharted territory.
The sources of energy of arrange of international the sources of energy is supplied looked into sectional chief TimGould to make a problem be on behalf of IEA ” WorldEnergyOutlook2016 ” report. Although difficulty is heavy, report or affirmed ” Parisian agreement ” the action of respect of structural adjustment of alive group energy resources, for low carbon development and transition of the sources of energy offerred opportunity. From the point of each fractionize domain, prospective coal industry goes low ceaselessly, good luck of oil gas domain and challenge coexist, but perspective of second birth the sources of energy is more wide. 2016, the share that middle east holds global oil output amounts to nearly 40 years to come highest, meanwhile, deepen ceaselessly as transition of natural gas market, liquefied natural gas (LNG) act a more important role. Generating electricity domain, 2015 but the total that second birth the sources of energy increased outfit machine newly to had exceeded natural gas, oil and nuclear energy to generate electricity, to 2040, with but the low carbon fuel that second birth the sources of energy gives priority to and technology will be contented near of the half increase energy demand newly.
The prospective place it may be said of coal industry ” one disaster after another ” , demand of main area coal is ceaseless fall after a rise. IEA points out, transition of the sources of energy is the key that affects global general trends is in, coal consumes Da Feng to indicating the turning point of coal industry. Prospective coal demand will considerably fall after a rise, IEA predicts Chinese coal demand was coal of 1 million tons of 2500 standards only 2040. To control air pollution, reduce carbon to discharge, electric power and natural gas space of reductive of fill coal demand, among them, of natural gas make in 21 centuries with quantity general 30 time exceed coal.
Oil market will enter a bigger wave motion period. The report points out, although global car amount breaks up time, but as can effect rises, the development of biology fuel and electric car, reducing ceaselessly by the petroleum demand that uses a car, and the industry such as petro-chemical, aviation, freight, shipping to petrolic demand will increase further. 2015~2016 year, the project of traditional crude oil that wins approval falls to 20 centuries the nadir since 50 time, if the approval of next year is counted,still keep low, the supply and demand after may be lopsided in the near future, need all-time effort to just can avoid. IEA caution, if did not appear to investment picks up or drop quickly of demand side growth, oil market will is faced with below one round ” prosperity, flat ” periodic.
From the point of natural gas domain, liquefied natural gas (LNG) drove again natural gas revolution. Introduction TimGloud, current, transition of natural gas market is deepened ceaselessly, LNG is in the whole world is remote natural gas commerce is occupied mediumly than also rising ceaselessly, to 2040 this one scale will be achieved 53% . Supply considering current LNG market already enough, the affiliation of country of exit of new LNG of etc of Australia, United States will give relevant contract provision and price mechanism to bring a challenge.
Suffer the effect of policy and transition of the sources of energy, the perspective of report of zephyr of smooth hot season will be more wide. IEA is forecasted, to 2040, but second birth the sources of energy generates electricity 37% what will take total electricenergy production, in 2 ℃ scene this scale is to achieve more near 60% , among them, of heat addition and traffic domain increase latent capacity newly the biggest. In policy drive the influence that designs an alteration with power market to fall, but the new page that second birth the sources of energy grows open.
In addition, notable is, of the sources of energy and water interdependent increasing. The report thinks, industry of global water Wu is at present right the demand to water is in industry of the demand of the sources of energy, energy to be climbed ceaselessly litre, the correlation that handles good both is crucial to achieving a series of development and climate goal.